Disney to Acquire Lucasfilm for 4B cash/stock, Star Wars 7 in 2015

DISNEY TO ACQUIRE LUCASFILM LTD.

An investor conference call will take place at approximately 4:30 p.m. EDT / 1:30 p.m. PDT today, October 30, 2012. Details for the call are listed in the release.

Global leader in high-quality family entertainment agrees to acquire world-renowned Lucasfilm Ltd, including legendary STAR WARS franchise.

Acquisition continues Disney's strategic focus on creating and monetizing the world's best branded content, innovative technology and global growth to drive long-term shareholder value.

Lucasfilm to join company's global portfolio of world class brands including Disney, ESPN, Pixar, Marvel and ABC.

STAR WARS: EPISODE 7 feature film targeted for release in 2015.

Burbank, CA and San Francisco, CA, October 30, 2012 – Continuing its strategy of delivering exceptional creative content to audiences around the world, The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) has agreed to acquire Lucasfilm Ltd. in a stock and cash transaction. Lucasfilm is 100% owned by Lucasfilm Chairman and Founder, George Lucas.

Under the terms of the agreement and based on the closing price of Disney stock on October 26, 2012, the transaction value is $4.05 billion, with Disney paying approximately half of the consideration in cash and issuing approximately 40 million shares at closing. The final consideration will be subject to customary post-closing balance sheet adjustments.

"Lucasfilm reflects the extraordinary passion, vision, and storytelling of its founder, George Lucas," said Robert A. Iger, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of The Walt Disney Company. "This transaction combines a world-class portfolio of content including Star Wars, one of the greatest family entertainment franchises of all time, with Disney's unique and unparalleled creativity across multiple platforms, businesses, and markets to generate sustained growth and drive significant long-term value."

"For the past 35 years, one of my greatest pleasures has been to see Star Wars passed from one generation to the next," said George Lucas, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Lucasfilm. "It's now time for me to pass Star Wars on to a new generation of filmmakers. I've always believed that Star Wars could live beyond me, and I thought it was important to set up the transition during my lifetime. I'm confident that with Lucasfilm under the leadership of Kathleen Kennedy, and having a new home within the Disney organization, Star Wars will certainly live on and flourish for many generations to come. Disney's reach and experience give Lucasfilm the opportunity to blaze new trails in film, television, interactive media, theme parks, live entertainment, and consumer products."

Under the deal, Disney will acquire ownership of Lucasfilm, a leader in entertainment, innovation and technology, including its massively popular and "evergreen" Star Wars franchise and its operating businesses in live action film production, consumer products, animation, visual effects, and audio post production. Disney will also acquire the substantial portfolio of cutting-edge entertainment technologies that have kept audiences enthralled for many years. Lucasfilm, headquartered in San Francisco, operates under the names Lucasfilm Ltd., LucasArts, Industrial Light & Magic, and Skywalker Sound, and the present intent is for Lucasfilm employees to remain in their current locations.

Kathleen Kennedy, current Co-Chairman of Lucasfilm, will become President of Lucasfilm, reporting to Walt Disney Studios Chairman Alan Horn. Additionally she will serve as the brand manager for Star Wars, working directly with Disney's global lines of business to build, further integrate, and maximize the value of this global franchise. Ms. Kennedy will serve as executive producer on new Star Wars feature films, with George Lucas serving as creative consultant. Star Wars Episode 7 is targeted for release in 2015, with more feature films expected to continue the Star Wars saga and grow the franchise well into the future.

The acquisition combines two highly compatible family entertainment brands, and strengthens the long-standing beneficial relationship between them that already includes successful integration of Star Wars content into Disney theme parks in Anaheim, Orlando, Paris and Tokyo.

Driven by a tremendously talented creative team, Lucasfilm's legendary Star Wars franchise has flourished for more than 35 years, and offers a virtually limitless universe of characters and stories to drive continued feature film releases and franchise growth over the long term. Star Wars resonates with consumers around the world and creates extensive opportunities for Disney to deliver the content across its diverse portfolio of businesses including movies, television, consumer products, games and theme parks. Star Wars feature films have earned a total of $4.4 billion in global box to date, and continued global demand has made Star Wars one of the world's top product brands, and Lucasfilm a leading product licensor in the United States in 2011. The franchise provides a sustainable source of high quality, branded content with global appeal and is well suited for new business models including digital platforms, putting the acquisition in strong alignment with Disney's strategic priorities for continued long-term growth.

The Lucasfilm acquisition follows Disney's very successful acquisitions of Pixar and Marvel, which demonstrated the company's unique ability to fully develop and expand the financial potential of high quality creative content with compelling characters and storytelling through the application of innovative technology and multiplatform distribution on a truly global basis to create maximum value. Adding Lucasfilm to Disney's portfolio of world class brands significantly enhances the company's ability to serve consumers with a broad variety of the world's highest-quality content and to create additional long-term value for our shareholders.

The Boards of Directors of Disney and Lucasfilm have approved the transaction, which is subject to clearance under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act, certain non-United States merger control regulations, and other customary closing conditions. The agreement has been approved by the sole shareholder of Lucasfilm.

Note: Additional information and comments from Robert A. Iger, chairman and CEO, The Walt Disney Company, and Jay Rasulo, senior executive vice president and CFO, The Walt Disney Company, regarding Disney's acquisition of Lucasfilm, are attached.

Investor Conference Call:

An investor conference call will take place at approximately 4:30 p.m. EDT / 1:30 p.m. PDT today, October 30, 2012. To listen to the Webcast, turn your browser to /investors/events or dial in domestically at (888) 771-4371 or internationally at (847) 585-4405. For both dial-in numbers, the participant pass code is 33674546.

The discussion will be available via replay on the Disney Investor Relations website through November 13, 2012 at 5:00 PM EST/2:00 PM PST.

About The Walt Disney Company

The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise with five business segments: media networks, parks and resorts, studio entertainment, interactive media, and consumer products. Disney is a Dow 30 company with revenues of over $40 billion in its Fiscal Year 2011.

About Lucasfilm Ltd.

Founded by George Lucas in 1971, Lucasfilm is a privately held, fully-integrated entertainment company. In addition to its motion-picture and television production operations, the company's global activities include Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound, serving the digital needs of the entertainment industry for visual-effects and audio post-production; LucasArts, a leading developer and publisher of interactive entertainment software worldwide; Lucas Licensing, which manages the global merchandising activities for Lucasfilm's entertainment properties; Lucasfilm Animation; and Lucas Online creates Internet-based content for Lucasfilm's entertainment properties and businesses. Additionally, Lucasfilm Singapore, produces digital animated content for film and television, as well as visual effects for feature films and multi-platform games. Lucasfilm Ltd. is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

# # #

Contact:

Zenia Mucha
The Walt Disney Company
818-560-5300

Forward-Looking Statements:

Certain statements in this communication and the attachments may constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to a variety of matters, including but not limited to: the operations of the businesses of Disney and Lucasfilm separately and as a combined entity; the timing and consummation of the proposed merger transaction; the expected benefits of the integration of the two companies; the combined company's plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not historical fact. These statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Disney and Lucasfilm regarding future events and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. Neither Disney nor Lucasfilm undertakes any obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Such differences may result from a variety of factors, including but not limited to:

  • legal or regulatory proceedings or other matters that affect the timing or ability to complete the transactions as contemplated;
  • the risk that the businesses will not be integrated successfully;
  • the possibility of disruption from the merger making it more difficult to maintain business and operational relationships;
  • the possibility that the merger does not close, including but not limited to, due to the failure to satisfy the closing conditions;
  • any actions taken by either of the companies, including but not limited to, restructuring or strategic initiatives (including capital investments or asset acquisitions or dispositions);
  • developments beyond the companies' control, including but not limited to: changes in domestic or global economic conditions, competitive conditions and consumer preferences; adverse weather conditions or natural disasters; health concerns; international, political or military developments; and technological developments.

Additional factors that may cause results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements are set forth in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Disney for the year ended October 1, 2011, under the heading "Item 1A—Risk Factors," and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Disney.

 

ROBERT A. IGER, CHAIRMAN AND CEO, THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY REMARKS FOR ANALYSTS REGARDING DISNEY'S ACQUISITION OF LUCASFILM LTD., AS PREPARED

As we just announced, The Walt Disney Company has agreed to acquire Lucasfilm and its world class portfolio of creative content – including the legendary Star Wars franchise – along with all of its operating businesses, including Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound.

George Lucas is a visionary, an innovator and an epic storyteller – and he's built a company at the intersection of entertainment and technology to bring some of the world's most unforgettable characters and stories to screens across the galaxy. He's entertained, inspired, and defined filmmaking for almost four decades and we're incredibly honored that he has entrusted the future of that legacy to Disney.

Disney has had a great relationship with George that goes back a long way – with Star Wars theme attractions in our parks in Anaheim, Orlando, Paris and Tokyo. This acquisition builds on that foundation and combines two of the strongest family entertainment brands in the world. It makes sense, not just because of our brand compatibility and previous success together, but because Disney respects and understands – better than just about anyone else – the importance of iconic characters and what it takes to protect and leverage them effectively to drive growth and create value.

Lucasfilm fits perfectly with Disney's strategic priorities. It is a sustainable source of branded, high quality creative content with tremendous global appeal that will benefit all of Disney's business units and is incredibly well suited for new business models, including digital platforms. Adding the Lucasfilm IP to our existing Disney, Pixar and Marvel IP clearly enhances our ability to serve consumers, strengthening our competitive position -- and we are confident we can earn a return on invested capital well in excess of our cost of capital.

Star Wars in particular is a strong global brand, and one of the greatest family entertainment franchises of all time, with hundreds of millions of fans around the globe. Its universe of more than 17,000 characters inhabiting several thousand planets spanning 20,000 years offers infinite inspiration and opportunities – and we're already moving forward with plans to continue the epic Star Wars saga.

The last Star Wars movie release was 2005's Revenge of the Sith – and we believe there's substantial pent up demand. In 2015, we're planning to release Star Wars Episode 7 – the first feature film under the "Disney-Lucasfilm" brand. That will be followed by Episodes 8 and 9 – and our long term plan is to release a new Star Wars feature film every two to three years. We're very happy that George Lucas will be creative consultant on our new Star Wars films and that Kathleen Kennedy, the current Co-Chair of Lucasfilm, will executive produce. George handpicked Kathy earlier this year to lead Lucasfilm into the future. She'll join Disney as President of Lucasfilm, reporting into Walt Disney Studios Chairman Alan Horn and integrating and building the Star Wars franchise across our company.

Our successful acquisitions of Pixar and Marvel prove Disney's unique ability to grow brands and expand high-quality creative content to its fullest franchise potential and maximum value.

We've leveraged Pixar's terrific characters and stories into franchises across our company – from feature films to consumer products online games, major attractions in our theme parks, and more.

The 2006 Pixar acquisition delivered more than great Pixar content -- it also delivered the means to energize and revitalize the creative engine at Walt Disney Animation – which was crucial to our long term success. Animation is the heart and soul of Disney and our successful creative resurgence will be on full display this weekend when Wreck-It-Ralph opens in theaters across the country.

Our acquisition of Marvel three years later combined Marvel's strong global brand and world-renowned library of characters with Disney's creative skills, unparalleled global portfolio of entertainment properties, and an integrated business structure that maximizes the value of creative content across multiple platforms and territories. Our first two Marvel films – Thor and Captain America grossed a total of more than $800 million at the box office. This year, Marvel's The Avengers grossed more than $1.5 billion to become the world's third highest grossing movie of all time – and an important and lucrative franchise for us.

We're looking forward to a robust slate of new Marvel movies – starting with Iron Man 3 and Thor: The Dark World next year, followed by Captain America: The Winter Soldier in 2014. And, as we announced previously, Joss Whedon is writing and directing Avengers 2 and developing a Marvel-based series for ABC.

Pixar and Marvel both fit our criteria for strategic acquisitions – they add great IP that benefits multiple Disney businesses for years to come, and continue to create value well in excess of their purchase price. The acquisition of Lucasfilm is in keeping with this proven strategy for success and we expect it to create similar opportunity for Disney to drive long-term value for our shareholders.

We're clearly excited about this move forward. We believe we can do great things with these amazing assets….we have a proven track record of maximizing the value of our strategic acquisitions…. and we're poised to do the same with this one.

 

JAY RASULO, SENIOR EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT AND CFO, THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY REMARKS FOR ANALYSTS REGARDING DISNEY'S ACQUISITION OF LUCASFILM LTD., AS PREPARED

Lucasfilm, and more specifically the Star Wars franchise, fits perfectly within the Disney portfolio of intellectual properties and the strategic and financial implications of this acquisition are compelling. Our team has spent a tremendous amount of time evaluating this deal and we have concluded we are uniquely positioned to maximize the value of Lucasfilm's IP in a manner that can generate substantial value for our shareholders above and beyond the purchase price.

In this transaction we will acquire rights to the Star Wars and Indiana Jones franchises, a highly talented and expert team, Lucasfilm's best-in-class post production businesses, Industrial Light and Magic and Skywalker Sound, and a suite of cutting edge entertainment technologies. Our valuation focused almost entirely on the financial potential of the Star Wars franchise, which we expect to provide us with a stream of storytelling opportunities for years to come delivered via all relevant platforms on a global basis.

There are a number of ways our company will derive value from Lucasfilm's intellectual property—some of which can be realized immediately while others will accrue to us over time. George and his team have built Star Wars into one of the most successful and enduring family entertainment franchises in history, as well as one of the best selling licensed character merchandise brands in the U.S. and around the world. However, we believe there is great opportunity to further expand the consumer products business. Today, Star Wars is heavily skewed toward toys and North America. We see great opportunity domestically to extend the breadth and depth of the Star Wars franchise into other categories. We also plan to leverage Disney's global consumer products organization to grow the Star Wars consumer products business internationally.

Let me note that in 2012 Lucasfilm's consumer products business is expected to generate total licensing revenue that is comparable to the roughly $215 million in consumer products revenue Marvel generated in 2009, the year in which we announced our acquisition. With renewed film releases, and the support we can give the Star Wars property on our Disney-branded TV channels, we expect that business to grow substantially and profitably for many years to come.

We also expect to create significant value in the film business. We plan to release the first new Star Wars film in 2015, and then plan to release one film every two to three years. These films will be released and distributed as part of our target slate of 8-10 live-action films per year, and will augment Disney's already strong creative pipeline for many years to come. Lucasfilm has not released a Star Wars film since Revenge of the Sith in 2005. However, adjusted for inflation, as well as growth in both international box office and 3D, we estimate the three most recent Star Wars films would have averaged about $1.5 billion in global box office in today's dollars. This speaks to the franchise's strength, global appeal and the great opportunity we have in the film business.

We also expect to utilize Star Wars in other businesses including Parks & Resorts, in games and in our television business. These initiatives were also considered in our valuation.

Under the terms of the agreement, Disney will buy Lucasfilm for $4.05 billion, consisting of approximately fifty percent cash and fifty percent in Disney stock. Based on Friday's closing price of Disney stock, we expect to issue approximately 40 million Disney shares in this transaction. We continue to believe our shares are attractively priced at current levels and therefore, we currently intend to repurchase all of the shares issued within the next two years-- and that's in addition to what we planned to repurchase in the absence of the transaction.

Our valuation of Lucasfilm is roughly comparable to the value we placed on Marvel when we announced that acquisition in 2009. Our Lucasfilm valuation is almost entirely driven by the Star Wars franchise, so any success from other franchises would provide upside to our base case. I realize it may be a challenge for you to quantify our opportunity given the limited amount of publicly available information. But to give you some perspective on the size of the Lucasfilm business-- in 2005, the year in which the most recent Star Wars film was released, Lucasfilm generated $550 million in operating income. We've taken a conservative approach in our valuation assumptions, including continued erosion of the home entertainment market, and we expect this acquisition to create value for our shareholders.

In terms of the impact on our financials, we expect the acquisition to be dilutive to our EPS by low single digit percentage points in fiscal 2013 and 2014 and become accretive to EPS in 2015.

Our capital allocation philosophy has been consistent since Bob took over as CEO. In addition to returning capital to shareholders, we have invested, both organically and through acquisitions, in high quality, branded content that can be seamlessly leveraged across our businesses. Our acquisition of Lucasfilm is entirely consistent with this strategy, and we're incredibly excited by the prospect of building on Lucasfilm's successful legacy to create significant value for our shareholders.

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+1 Hells yeah!! Enough of the Self-Service!

Die, Die, DIY! Enough of the Self-Service

At the end of my visit to my town's brand-new supermarket the other day, the cashier said she would be more than happy to help me self-check-out my purchases.

I said, "No, thank you, I would prefer that you do that." She said, "Actually, we prefer that the customers get into the habit of checking out their groceries." I said, "Actually, I would prefer to never get into that habit. I would prefer that you handle the entire operation. You are the cashier. You are the vicar of groceries. You, not I, work here. So earn your money and ring up my purchases. And then bag them. Please."

Are we entering a dark, deeply un-American era when we literally have to do everything for ourselves?

[image]Getty Images

America was founded on the concept of service. It's in the Federalist Papers.

Bagging your own groceries is a pernicious tradition imported from France, where people have a history of cravenly submitting to authority. America, by contrast, was founded on the concept of service. It's what we fought for at Yorktown and the Alamo. John Jay even wrote about it in "The Federalist Papers."

Today, we've forgotten this and ignominiously kowtow. But why should I have to self-direct my 401(k) or judiciously select from an a la carte menu of health-care services? Why can't somebody do this for me? If I knew anything about health, I'd still be healthy.

It doesn't end there. To order tickets, why do I have to go online to a stupid, labyrinthine website and fumble through all those boxes and continually get a message reading "Insufficient Information" while I race against time to make my purchase before six minutes expire? In the good old days I simply said: "Two balcony tickets for the Dexys Midnight Runners Tribute Band." When did the revered customer become a lowly data-entry specialist?

This debacle started with ATMs and bussing your own table and being forced to personally aggrandize yourself instead of relying on well-earned kudos from others. Then people took to those feverishly unhygienic delis where you have to construct your own salad by selecting festering legumes and gobs of goo from an open trough. I hate making my own salad. I never strike the proper balance between carbs and proteins. And I always forget the horseradish sauce. I prefer that my salad be made by professionals.

Another watershed moment in our long march toward retail serfdom kicked in when Americans began pumping their own gas and cleaning their own windshields and checking their own oil. True, in New Jersey, they pump the gas for you. It's a state law. But Garden Staters only do this because they know that otherwise nobody would ever visit New Jersey.

In the supermarket, I started to imagine other nightmare scenarios. Will I now be expected to cobble my own shoes? Short my own stocks? Raise my own arches? Canalize my own roots? Diagnose my neuroses?

"I think I'm mentally ill, doctor."

"Could you be a little more specific? We prefer that our patients analyze their own conditions."

"Well, I think that I suffer from obsessive-compulsive disorder, agoraphobia, profound insecurity about my height, and aphasia."

"What course of treatment would you self-recommend?"

"I was hoping you might prescribe some medication."

"We prefer that our patients self-medicate."

"Fine, I'll take a case of Oxytocin and six crates of Prozac."

"Great. That's $350, out of network. No checks."

I don't even want to think where this is headed. Am I going to have to haunt my own house? Watch my own whales? Turn on my own dime? And at the end, will I be expected to self-euthanize? Self-eulogize? Self-spread my own ashes in the Grand Canyon? Self-belt-out a highly personalized, knee-slapping rendition of "My Way" at my own graveside?

I'd rather self-destruct.

Stephen.Bates | +1 202 730-9760
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Taking up a collection for these poor guys! I-Bankers Bailing With No Plan B cc @vilebile @jbsyphrit @brianthamm

WSJ.com</a>

Taking Early Exits Off Wall Street

By LESLIE KWOH

After five years in investment banking, Matt Wolf decided he'd had enough.

While the 35-year-old vice president enjoyed his close-knit team of colleagues at Morgan Stanley in Manhattan, he had reached a breaking point: Too many takeout-fueled late nights, too many canceled trips with his wife and too many judgmental looks at social gatherings. His pay—still generous, but lower than he had expected before the financial crisis—was no longer worth the sacrifices.

So last month, he left. With no job lined up, his only plan is to spend the next few months coasting solo on his motorcycle from New York to South America, crashing at hostels and campsites and exploring job opportunities in the emerging markets. "You want to feel good about what you're doing in the long run," says Mr. Wolf, who is now seeking a more entrepreneurial career.

After the financial crisis resulted in less prestige and money, "the equation changed."

Disruption on Wall Street, resulting in image problems for the industry, smaller bonuses and less lavish perks, are spurring other midcareer bankers to similarly reassess their careers.

After a lifetime of targeted choices—attending top-tier schools and pursuing competitive internships in hopes of winning high-paying finance jobs—some bankers are bailing out with no Plan B. Their only certainty, according to interviews The Wall Street Journal conducted with a dozen midcareer bankers, is that they no longer want to stay in banking.

"People in the industry have started to question what the grand purpose is, really," Mr. Wolf says.

Burnouts on Wall Street are nothing new, nor are early retirees who leave after stockpiling cash. But industry recruiters say it is unusual to see 30-somethings, who have spent close to a decade in finance, leaving without an exit plan.

image
Kevin Hagen for the Wall Street Journal

Mr. Wolf has organized the items he plans to take on his trip at his home in Mamaroneck, N.Y.

"It's been an all-too-common story line this year," says Ross Baltic, managing partner at Mercury Partners Inc., a Manhattan recruiting firm specializing in investment banking. The middle ranks of bankers naturally thin out as workers head to private equity or hedge funds, but leaving without a destination is a new phenomenon, he says.

Lower pay is, of course, a major factor in prompting bankers to weigh the costs and benefits of the profession. Average bonuses for first-year vice presidents—generally a position with five to 10 years of experience—fell 13% in 2011, to $203,358, according to an annual survey by WallStreetComps.com.

Meanwhile, in a report earlier this month, the New York Comptroller's Office found the total average salary and bonus for securities-industry professionals in New York City rose 0.5% to $362,950 in 2011, but still fell far short of the slightly more than $400,000 from 2007, just before the worst of the financial crisis.

Bankers from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and UBS AG interviewed for this article —but who declined to be named because either they are still working at the banks or fear they may one day need to return to the industry—cited brutal hours, lack of exercise, weight gain and a nonexistent social life as reasons for leaving.

"I only dated bankers, because they could at least understand my lifestyle," says one Citigroup banker who left the profession in July.

Todd Lawrence, 31, a former Citigroup senior associate in Australia specializing in mergers and acquisitions, says he quit his nearly $300,000-a-year job in December when he realized that after seven years, he would have to put in another three to five years just to advance beyond doing paperwork or proofing pitch books.

"Everyone goes into banking with wide eyes, but once you sit down at your desk, that fades pretty quickly," he says. "You're really just living skin deep. You've got nice suits and nice cars."

Now, he worries about paying his mortgage as he works pro bono for a businessman expanding a silver-production venture in Mexico. But he says he prefers taking that risk and pursuing personal fulfillment "as opposed to something that's just going to give me an income."

Earlier this year, Escape the City, an online community for corporate professionals exploring a career change, polled 75 current or recently departed finance workers. When asked if a raise would change their minds, 36% responded: "No price tag on my soul."

"It's not just a money thing; they just don't feel their values align," says Mike Howe, 28, a partner at Escape the City and a former banker himself.

Several banks contacted for this story, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup, declined to comment on whether they have observed midlevel talent leaving their firms without jobs.

A person familiar with hiring trends at Morgan Stanley says voluntary turnover across all business units has fallen to the lowest levels since the financial crisis.

Christina Maslach, a University of California, Berkeley psychology professor who has researched job dissatisfaction, says a sense of fairness and values often plays a role in burnout. She likens the banking-migration trend to the dot-com bust circa 1999, when technology firms—initially proud to advertise themselves as "burnout shops"—began losing talent due to tough working conditions and poor morale.

Not everyone makes a permanent escape, with many bankers returning to the industry within a year or two of their departures.

But similar gambles have paid off. Andy Frankenberger left the industry in 2009 after 14 years as an equity-derivatives trader. "I wanted to grow more as a person," he says.

A recreational poker player, the 39-year-old began playing tournaments in 2010 and has since raked in $2.5 million in winnings.

Still, Mr. Frankenberger says he wouldn't rule out someday returning to banking or even starting his own hedge fund. "A lifetime is a long time, right?" he says.

Write to Leslie Kwoh at leslie.kwoh@wsj.com

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Cheerleaders Should Be Treated Like Athletes, Says American Academy of Pediatrics - WSJ.com

WSJ.com

Treat Cheerleaders as Athletes, Pediatrics Academy Advises

By KATHERINE HOBSON

[image]AP Photo/Gerald Herbert

University of Kentucky cheerleaders during the 2012 NCAA Southeastern Conference college basketball tournament in New Orleans in March.

The nation's pediatricians say cheerleaders should be treated more like athletes to help prevent serious injuries from stunts and pyramids.

In a report published online Monday, the American Academy of Pediatrics recommends that cheerleading should be designated a sport at the high school and collegiate levels "so that it is subject to rules and regulations set forth by sports governing bodies," such as the NCAA.

There are an estimated 400,000 participants in high school cheerleading, almost all women, and 29 states recognize high school cheering as a sport.

The National Collegiate Athletic Association doesn't track the number of college cheerleaders because it isn't considered a sport.

Sports must petition to be recognized by the NCAA, and the criteria for inclusion, among other things, state that there must be an element of competition. Two groups emphasizing tumbling and stunts have asked for cheerleading recognized as an emerging sport. An NCAA spokeswoman says the petitions will be reviewed for three years. Sideline cheerleaders wouldn't be included.

Cheerleading has a lower overall injury rate than women's sports like gymnastics, soccer and basketball. But the rate of catastrophic injury, causing death or permanent disability, is comparatively high, according to previously published data cited in the pediatrics academy report.

According to researchers at the University of North Carolina's National Center for Catastrophic Sport Injury Research, about 65% of the 128 direct catastrophic injuries to high-school female athletes between the 1982-1983 and 2010-2011 school years were received while cheerleading, according to the center's research.

Among college female athletes, cheerleading accounted for 71% of 51 direct catastrophic injuries, according to the center.

The pediatrics academy report cites statistics indicating a rise in the number of cheerleaders ages 6 and older, including traditional cheer squads on the sidelines at games and competitive squads that aren't affiliated with schools, from 3.0 million in 1990 to 3.6 million in 2003.

Cheerleading injury rates have actually decreased over the past few years, after increased attention to safety, says Frederick Mueller, director of the UNC sport-injury research center, which collects injury reports.

Cheering squads often maintain intense workout schedules throughout the school year, not just during a single season, he says. They would benefit from better facilities, qualified coaches, access to athletic trainers and limits on practice.

The AAP says cheerleaders, like other student athletes, should have a pre-participation physical. Coaches should be specially trained in the types of gymnastic stunts that cheering squads increasingly perform.

The most dangerous stunts and pyramids shouldn't be done on hard surfaces, the AAP says. Cheerleaders with signs of a head injury should leave the competition or practice and shouldn't return until they have been cleared by a doctor or medical professional.

"Participation has increased, and the demands of the sport have increased," says Cynthia LaBella, lead author of the report and an associate professor of pediatrics at Northwestern University's Feinberg School of Medicine. "The things that they're doing are more dangerous."

The academy hopes coaches, administrators and state high-school athletic organizations will follow the guidelines, which aren't binding.

Jim Lord, executive director of the American Association of Cheerleading Coaches & Administrators, says he agrees with most of the pediatricians' recommendations.

Whether or not cheerleading is deemed a sport, participants should be treated as athletes, with access to the same level of facilities, medical personnel and qualified coaches, he says.

He does have a quibble with the recommendations: Use of a thick landing mat when performing pyramids may actually increase the danger by leading to instability, he says.

The policy recommendations appear online in the journal Pediatrics.

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The #BigData Challenge: How to Develop a Winning #emc Strategy cc @greenplum

http://www.cio.com/article/708477/The_Big_Data_Challenge_How_to_Develop_a_Winning_Strategy

The Big Data Challenge: How to Develop a Winning Strategy

CIO — Big Data is exciting stuff, but don't take my word for it. Ask the Academy of Arts and Sciences, who nominated Moneyball -- a movie about Big Data -- for six Oscars. If Hollywood is on board, you know Big Data has gone mainstream. What's more, Tinsel Town managed to do what most industry commentators haven't: Spin a tale that is both interesting and illustrative of Big Data's transformative potential.

9 Open Source Big Data Technologies to Watch

And yet, while a baseball team's creative use of statistical data may have helped it to go from perennial doormat to scrappy contender, it doesn't begin to describe what Big Data can do for an organization.

Howard Elias, President and COO, EMC Information Infrastructure and Cloud Services
Howard Elias, President and COO, EMC Information Infrastructure and Cloud Services

What is Big Data, anyway? Gartner defines Big Data as having three primary characteristics: volume (amount), velocity (speed of creation and utilization), and variety (types and sources of unstructured data, such as social interaction, video, audio -- anything that isn't neatly categorized within a database). I describe Big Data as datasets so large and diverse, they break traditional IT infrastructures.

What Big Data is, however, isn't as important as what you can do if you harness its potential and uncover new business opportunities through Big Data analytics.

Even in these early days of Big Data, its applications across diverse industries are compelling. Retailers embrace Big Data to combine RFID sensor data, social media data, and GPS coordinates to evaluate location, product selection, and individual profiles in order to deliver geo-specific product promotions to a mobile device. Big Data has been used to analyze entire forests in order to identify individual trees for harvest in order to maximize health, yield, and profit.

We are using Big Data to better understand massive amounts of data associated with processes and costs related to supplier parts, manufacturing, logistics, quality control, customer service, and more, and have used it to establish predictive performance models to address quality issues before they can have a negative effect on customer satisfaction. Yet even these examples only scratch the surface of how Big Data can effect business transformation.

Big Data's potential goes beyond traditional "rear view" business intelligence, revealing patterns in near real time to facilitate making a quantum leap from incremental improvement to predictive business processes and even entirely new business models -- what I call the Art of the Possible.

But the Art of the Possible requires practitioners who understand the unique mix of "art and science" that characterizes the most transformative Big Data breakthroughs. It requires people who are as comfortable with business concepts and operations as they are adept with the analytical and visualization tools required to process and recognize patterns in the data. We call these professionals Data Scientists. They're able to make quantifiable connections between previously unknown causes and effects; they're adroit at seeing associations others have missed; and they're able to understand how these new insights can be used to fundamentally change operational practices and business and organizational models.

More about Data Scientists:

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More about Data Scientists:
Who's Hiring Data Scientists? Facebook, Google, Stumbleupon and More
Why Your IT Department Needs Data Scientists
What it Takes to Be a Data Scientist
Could Data Scientist Be Your Next Job?

But there are too few of these practitioners to satisfy industry need -- and that talent deficit is quickly widening. A recent McKinsey report on Big Data estimates that in just five years demand for data scientists could outstrip supply by more than 1.5 million.

If you are an executive considering a Big Data strategy, you are fishing in a small talent pool -- the banks of which are becoming crowded with a growing number of anglers casting their lines in the water. Gartner recently reported that one-third (33%) of business have already begun or are actively considering the implementation of Big Data projects. And with less than one-third (31%) of organizations "confident they can execute a Big Data strategy with their existing staff," the rush is on. That means the Big Data challenge is as much about getting ahead of the trend and acquiring talent as it is about investing in new technology.

Until universities embrace the creation of data science disciplines, like computer science decades ago, how do you compete for such limited resources and achieve the Art of the Possible? I recommend three steps for ensuring your organization has the people it needs.

Educate: Your first step should be to identify people from within your organization who have proven themselves as both technically adroit and analytically creative. Remember, Big Data is about the Art of the Possible; you need creative thinkers. Don't confine your review to IT professionals; it's vitally important that your Big Data team draws heavily from disciplines able to think beyond typical linear problem solving. Once you've identified your future Big Data rock stars, invest in them through training and certifications in Big Data Analytics and Data Science.

Acquire: A major part of your Big Data talent acquisition strategy should involve bringing in individuals from outside the organization who not only possess skills complementary to your strategy, but who are not burdened by industry and organizational biases. Part of what makes Big Data transformative is its focus on discovering new approaches to solving old problems. That's hard to accomplish when an organization is saddled with the inertia of conventional wisdom and a "that's not how we do it here" mindset. Look outside your walls and outside your industry.

Empower: Nothing will derail a Big Data strategy faster than building a team that is not given the chance to succeed. Conversely, nothing will energize your team more than the knowledge that they are being challenged with creating measurable impact and supported by your organization's senior management. Without this commitment, the time and resources you invest in training the team will end up benefitting your competitors through defection. This will be especially important when your Big Data team challenges the norm and runs up against others in your organization who feel threatened by change (and they will). But by creating an environment outside of the constraints of the IT department where data scientists know their contributions are valued, you'll make recruitment and retention easier.

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This advice is born of my experience implementing a Big Data analytics strategy to transform business processes based on the quantifiable insights Big Data affords. Our achievements to date have resulted in significant and measurable improvement in areas such as quality control, logistics, and customer support. They didn't happen overnight, and they didn't happen without conflict, but we were committed to identifying and then acting on these new insights. We've also invested in the development of robust Data Science curricula that are used within industry and academia to train and certify tomorrow's data scientists. I believe strongly in investing in the skills and people needed to meet the challenges of the future.

The Moneyball approach didn't win the Athletics a world championship, but it did prove successful enough that, within a year, every major league organization had adopted a Big Data strategy in some form. And in your industry right now there's a Billy Beane who is analyzing data in new ways, looking for a competitive edge that will become the next Big Data blockbuster. Getting started with Big Data now can mean the Art of the Possible becomes a significant competitive edge for your organization. Waiting until Big Data analytics are table stakes means you'll be playing from behind rather than with the lead.

Howard D. Elias is President and Chief Operating Officer, EMC Information Infrastructure and Cloud Services. He oversees EMC's Consulting and Big Data Advisory services, Educational Services, Technology Professional services, and award-winning global Customer Support organizations. Elias is a director of Gannett, one of the USA's leading media and marketing solutions companies, and serves as a Director of the National Action Council for Minorities in Engineering (NACME). EMC is a corporate member of Change the Equation and numerous other educational foundations.

Get to Grips With The Sport of Kings

Do you Polo? Get to Grips with the Gentleman's Sport

The polo season is drawing to a close and it's time for Argentina to welcome the be-jodhpured and bejeweled members of the polo elite, for their final three tournaments of the season: the Tortugas Open, Hurlingham Open and the Argentine Open.

For those of you reading this in a Palermo coffee house, waiting for the Buenos Aires rain (currently delaying the Tortugas semifinal) to cease: congratulations! You can be considered a Polo Insider. But for those scarred into avoiding equine sports by reading Black Beauty as a child: it's time to redress those issues - you've been missing out on far too much field-side fun.

So here is the simplest of guides to ride you into The Sport of Kings.

A Bit of Background

From its roots 2500 years ago - when it was developed as a cavalry training exercise by the Persian Moguls - to today's beautiful game, polo hasn't changed a great deal over the centuries. The Brits took note of it in the 1850s when tea-planters saw it played on the Burmese-Indian border, and quickly established the world's first polo club. By 1862 it was enjoyed by the finest of the upper echelons of British society, before spreading to the American social elite.

It's now played in 77 countries - most popularly in England, the US and Argentina - and remains a sport associated with the wealthy and the terribly aristocratic. It's also a favourite amongst groups of giggling 20-something girls, for whom the sight of a short man on a large horse is almost too much to bear.

The Polo Match by Francisco Miralles Y Gallup

Hockey on Horseback: the Basics

• Each game is divided into between four and six 7.5 minute chukkers, with a 4 minute break between each one.
• The aim of the game is to hit the small ball into the goal at the end of the field (sound familiar?)
• To avoid confusion (especially after a few too many champagne raspberries) remember that after each goal is scored, teams change their direction of play. Don't worry, you haven't changed where you're standing.

Outdoor teams have 4 players, creatively named 1, 2, 3 and 4.
Arena teams have 3 players, and surprisingly, these are named 1, 2 and 3:

Number 1: The team's offensive player
Number 2: The teams's more experienced player, plays both offensive and defensive
Number 3: The team's most experienced player, as well as Field Captain (delegates the ball)
Number 4: The team's defensive player
And FYI: there is no goalkeeper. Each player covers their matching number from the opposing team, trying to stop him from scoring.

The Foul System

This system is complex so if you're only really going for the caviar (and let's face it, most of us are) then this is all your cheat sheet should need:

As soon as the crowd becomes either tense/angry/guttural, immediately imitate their offended expressions, shake your head and quietly mutter something about "the line of the ball" . That should do it.

Partaking in a little stomping

The Divot Stomp

Kings and Queens have been doing this for centuries and now you can too! If you've ever watched Pretty Woman you will know what this is, and if you haven't watched Pretty Woman a). you should, and b). the divot stomp is when spectators wander onto the field at half time and replace the bits of grass that the ponies have removed with their heels, thereby smoothing the field ready for part 2.

The Look

As a spectator, dressing to impress is essential - especially if you're heading to a match on British soil.
• If you've been invited into a private English enclosure to indulge in a leisurely liquid luncheon, you'll want to err on the smarter side of smart-casual.
• Steer clear of large hats though ladies - this isn't Ascot and those are ponies not horses. Leave the stilettos at home too; sinking into and being physically lifted out of the field after divot stomping is not a good way to start conversations with attractive jockeys. A nice pair of smart flats will spare your dignity.
• Gentlemen should not shy away from pinks and lemons when choosing their chinos - these being very much de rigueur. And as surprising as it may sound, Polo Ralph Lauren sells the perfect range of clothing for such an occasion.

Kate Middleton showing them how it's done

The Lingo

It's no good looking the part if you fail to sound it. Here are a few sound-bites for you to drop into conversation, allowing you to avoid awkward silences and ingratiate yourself with the master spectator:

• "What a shame the Novillo Astrada brothers have split. I always liked watching Ignacio and Alejandro together."
• "La Dolfina is a 40 goal dream team. This year's Triple Crown championship certainly threw the idea of their so called 'Cambiaso dependence' out the window!"
• "I'm so pleased Tortugas has finally been rescheduled. The yacht's arriving in Punta on the 19th and I didn't want to miss it."
• To be directed at the field when other spectators seem frustrated: "Take the man, not the ball!"

And finally,

If you are taking a picnic to watch the game, make sure not to set up camp too close to the field. Balls and ponies have been known to stray, and the last thing one needs is a hoof in one's hummus.

Polo picnics aren't for pansies

--
Stephen.Bates@gmail.com | +1 202-730-9760 

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Dark Social: We Have the Whole History of the Web Wrong cc @greenplum

Dark Social: We Have the Whole History of the Web Wrong

Here's a pocket history of the web, according to many people. In the early days, the web was just pages of information linked to each other. Then along came web crawlers that helped you find what you wanted among all that information. Some time around 2003 or maybe 2004, the social web really kicked into gear, and thereafter the web's users began to connect with each other more and more often. Hence Web 2.0, Wikipedia, MySpace, Facebook, Twitter, etc. I'm not strawmanning here. This is the dominant history of the web as seen, for example, in this Wikipedia entry on the 'Social Web.' 


1. The sharing you see on sites like Facebook and Twitter is the tip of the 'social' iceberg. We are impressed by its scale because it's easy to measure.

2. But most sharing is done via dark social means like email and IM that are difficult to measure.

3. According to new data on many media sites, 69% of social referrals came from dark social. 20% came from Facebook.

4. Facebook and Twitter do shift the paradigm from private sharing to public publishing. They structure, archive, and monetize your publications.

But it's never felt quite right to me. For one, I spent most of the 90s as a teenager in rural Washington and my web was highly, highly social. We had instant messenger and chat rooms and ICQ and USENET forums and email. My whole Internet life involved sharing links with local and Internet friends. How was I supposed to believe that somehow Friendster and Facebook created a social web out of what was previously a lonely journey in cyberspace when I knew that this has not been my experience? True, my web social life used tools that ran parallel to, not on, the web, but it existed nonetheless. 


To be honest, this was a very difficult thing to measure. One dirty secret of web analytics is that the information we get is limited. If you want to see how someone came to your site, it's usually pretty easy. When you follow a link from Facebook to The Atlantic, a little piece of metadata hitches a ride that tells our servers, "Yo, I'm here from Facebook.com." We can then aggregate those numbers and say, "Whoa, a million people came here from Facebook last month," or whatever. 


There are circumstances, however, when there is no referrer data. You show up at our doorstep and we have no idea how you got here. The main situations in which this happens are email programs, instant messages, some mobile applications*, and whenever someone is moving from a secure site ("https://mail.google.com/blahblahblah") to a non-secure site (http://www.theatlantic.com). 


This means that this vast trove of social traffic is essentially invisible to most analytics programs. I call it DARK SOCIAL. It shows up variously in programs as "direct" or "typed/bookmarked" traffic, which implies to many site owners that you actually have a bookmark or typed in www.theatlantic.com into your browser. But that's not actually what's happening a lot of the time. Most of the time, someone Gchatted someone a link, or it came in on a big email distribution list, or your dad sent it to you. 


Nonetheless, the idea that "social networks" and "social media" sites created a social web is pervasive. Everyone behaves as if the traffic your stories receive from the social networks (Facebook, Reddit, Twitter, StumbleUpon) is the same as all of your social traffic. I began to wonder if I was wrong. Or at least that what I had experienced was a niche phenomenon and most people's web time was not filled with Gchatted and emailed links. I began to think that perhaps Facebook and Twitter has dramatically expanded the volume of -- at the very least -- linksharing that takes place. 


Everyone else had data to back them up. I had my experience as a teenage nerd in the 1990s. I was not about to shake social media marketing firms with my tales of ICQ friends and the analogy of dark social to dark energy. ("You can't see it, dude, but it's what keeps the universe expanding. No dark social, no Internet universe, man! Just a big crunch.")


And then one day, we had a meeting with the real-time web analytics firm, Chartbeat. Like many media nerds, I love Chartbeat. It lets you know exactly what's happening with your stories, most especially where your readers are coming from. Recently, they made an accounting change that they showed to us. They took visitors who showed up without referrer data and split them into two categories. The first was people who were going to a homepage (theatlantic.com) or a subject landing page (theatlantic.com/politics). The second were people going to any other page, that is to say, all of our articles. These people, they figured, were following some sort of link because no one actually types "http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/10/atlast-the-gargantuan-telescope-designed-to-find-life-on-other-planets/263409/." They started counting these people as what they call direct social. 


The second I saw this measure, my heart actually leapt (yes, I am that much of a data nerd). This was it! They'd found a way to quantify dark social, even if they'd given it a lamer name! 


On the first day I saw it, this is how big of an impact dark social was having on The Atlantic. 


darksocial_atlantic.jpg

Just look at that graph. On the one hand, you have all the social networks that you know. They're about 43.5 percent of our social traffic. On the other, you have this previously unmeasured darknet that's delivering 56.5 percent of people to individual stories. This is not a niche phenomenon! It's more than 2.5x Facebook's impact on the site. 


Day after day, this continues to be true, though the individual numbers vary a lot, say, during a Reddit spike or if one of our stories gets sent out on a very big email list or what have you. Day after day, though, dark social is nearly always our top referral source. 


Perhaps, though, it was only The Atlantic for whatever reason. We do really well in the social world, so maybe we were outliers. So, I went back to Chartbeat and asked them to run aggregate numbers across their media sites. 


Get this. Dark social is even more important across this broader set of sites. Almost 69 percent of social referrals were dark! Facebook came in second at 20 percent. Twitter was down at 6 percent. 


All in all, direct/dark social was 17.5 percent of total referrals; only search at 21.5 percent drove more visitors to this basket of sites. (FWIW, at The Atlantic, social referrers far outstrip search. I'd guess the same is true at all the more magaziney sites.)


There are a couple of really interesting ramifications of this data. First, on the operational side, if you think optimizing your Facebook page and Tweets is "optimizing for social," you're only halfway (or maybe 30 percent) correct. The only real way to optimize for social spread is in the nature of the content itself. There's no way to game email or people's instant messages. There's no power users you can contact. There's no algorithms to understand. This is pure social, uncut.


Second, the social sites that arrived in the 2000s did not create the social web, but they did structure it. This is really, really significant. In large part, they made sharing on the Internet an act of publishing (!), with all the attendant changes that come with that switch. Publishing social interactions makes them more visible, searchable, and adds a lot of metadata to your simple link or photo post. There are some great things about this, but social networks also give a novel, permanent identity to your online persona. Your taste can be monetized, by you or (much more likely) the service itself. 


Third, I think there are some philosophical changes that we should consider in light of this new data. While it's true that sharing came to the web's technical infrastructure in the 2000s, the behaviors that we're now all familiar with on the large social networks was present long before they existed, and persists despite Facebook's eight years on the web. The history of the web, as we generally conceive it, needs to consider technologies that were outside the technical envelope of "webness." People layered communication technologies easily and built functioning social networks with most of the capabilities of the web 2.0 sites in semi-private and without the structure of the current sites. 


If what I'm saying is true, then the tradeoffs we make on social networks is not the one that we're told we're making. We're not giving our personal data in exchange for the ability to share links with friends. Massive numbers of people -- a larger set than exists on any social network -- already do that outside the social networks. Rather, we're exchanging our personal data in exchange for the ability to publish and archive a record of our sharing. That may be a transaction you want to make, but it might not be the one you've been told you made. 


* Chartbeat datawiz Josh Schwartz said it was unlikely that the mobile referral data was throwing off our numbers here. "Only about four percent of total traffic is on mobile at all, so, at least as a percentage of total referrals, app referrals must be a tiny percentage," Schwartz wrote to me in an email. "To put some more context there, only 0.3 percent of total traffic has the Facebook mobile site as a referrer and less than 0.1 percent has the Facebook mobile app."

Stephen.Bates | +1 202 730-9760
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NYT: Self-Destruction of the 1 Percent cc @vilebile @jbsyphrit @jbordeaux

The Self-Destruction of the 1 Percent

IN the early 14th century, Venice was one of the richest cities in Europe. At the heart of its economy was the colleganza, a basic form of joint-stock company created to finance a single trade expedition. The brilliance of the colleganza was that it opened the economy to new entrants, allowing risk-taking entrepreneurs to share in the financial upside with the established businessmen who financed their merchant voyages.

Venice’s elites were the chief beneficiaries. Like all open economies, theirs was turbulent. Today, we think of social mobility as a good thing. But if you are on top, mobility also means competition. In 1315, when the Venetian city-state was at the height of its economic powers, the upper class acted to lock in its privileges, putting a formal stop to social mobility with the publication of the Libro d’Oro, or Book of Gold, an official register of the nobility. If you weren’t on it, you couldn’t join the ruling oligarchy.

The political shift, which had begun nearly two decades earlier, was so striking a change that the Venetians gave it a name: La Serrata, or the closure. It wasn’t long before the political Serrata became an economic one, too. Under the control of the oligarchs, Venice gradually cut off commercial opportunities for new entrants. Eventually, the colleganza was banned. The reigning elites were acting in their immediate self-interest, but in the longer term, La Serrata was the beginning of the end for them, and for Venetian prosperity more generally. By 1500, Venice’s population was smaller than it had been in 1330. In the 17th and 18th centuries, as the rest of Europe grew, the city continued to shrink.

The story of Venice’s rise and fall is told by the scholars Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson, in their book “Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty,” as an illustration of their thesis that what separates successful states from failed ones is whether their governing institutions are inclusive or extractive. Extractive states are controlled by ruling elites whose objective is to extract as much wealth as they can from the rest of society. Inclusive states give everyone access to economic opportunity; often, greater inclusiveness creates more prosperity, which creates an incentive for ever greater inclusiveness.

The history of the United States can be read as one such virtuous circle. But as the story of Venice shows, virtuous circles can be broken. Elites that have prospered from inclusive systems can be tempted to pull up the ladder they climbed to the top. Eventually, their societies become extractive and their economies languish.

That was the future predicted by Karl Marx, who wrote that capitalism contained the seeds of its own destruction. And it is the danger America faces today, as the 1 percent pulls away from everyone else and pursues an economic, political and social agenda that will increase that gap even further — ultimately destroying the open system that made America rich and allowed its 1 percent to thrive in the first place.

You can see America’s creeping Serrata in the growing social and, especially, educational chasm between those at the top and everyone else. At the bottom and in the middle, American society is fraying, and the children of these struggling families are lagging the rest of the world at school.

Economists point out that the woes of the middle class are in large part a consequence of globalization and technological change. Culture may also play a role. In his recent book on the white working class, the libertarian writer Charles Murray blames the hollowed-out middle for straying from the traditional family values and old-fashioned work ethic that he says prevail among the rich (whom he castigates, but only for allowing cultural relativism to prevail).

There is some truth in both arguments. But the 1 percent cannot evade its share of responsibility for the growing gulf in American society. Economic forces may be behind the rising inequality, but as Peter R. Orszag, President Obama’s former budget chief, told me, public policy has exacerbated rather than mitigated these trends.

Even as the winner-take-all economy has enriched those at the very top, their tax burden has lightened. Tolerance for high executive compensation has increased, even as the legal powers of unions have been weakened and an intellectual case against them has been relentlessly advanced by plutocrat-financed think tanks. In the 1950s, the marginal income tax rate for those at the top of the distribution soared above 90 percent, a figure that today makes even Democrats flinch. Meanwhile, of the 400 richest taxpayers in 2009, 6 paid no federal income tax at all, and 27 paid 10 percent or less. None paid more than 35 percent.

Historically, the United States has enjoyed higher social mobility than Europe, and both left and right have identified this economic openness as an essential source of the nation’s economic vigor. But several recent studies have shown that in America today it is harder to escape the social class of your birth than it is in Europe. The Canadian economist Miles Corak has found that as income inequality increases, social mobility falls — a phenomenon Alan B. Krueger, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, has called the Great Gatsby Curve.

Educational attainment, which created the American middle class, is no longer rising. The super-elite lavishes unlimited resources on its children, while public schools are starved of funding. This is the new Serrata. An elite education is increasingly available only to those already at the top. Bill Clinton and Barack Obama enrolled their daughters in an exclusive private school; I’ve done the same with mine.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, earlier this year, I interviewed Ruth Simmons, then the president of Brown. She was the first African-American to lead an Ivy League university and has served on the board of Goldman Sachs. Dr. Simmons, a Harvard-trained literature scholar, worked hard to make Brown more accessible to poor students, but when I asked whether it was time to abolish legacy admissions, the Ivy League’s own Book of Gold, she shrugged me off with a laugh: “No, I have a granddaughter. It’s not time yet.”

America’s Serrata also takes a more explicit form: the tilting of the economic rules in favor of those at the top. The crony capitalism of today’s oligarchs is far subtler than Venice’s. It works in two main ways.

The first is to channel the state’s scarce resources in their own direction. This is the absurdity of Mitt Romney’s comment about the “47 percent” who are “dependent upon government.” The reality is that it is those at the top, particularly the tippy-top, of the economic pyramid who have been most effective at capturing government support — and at getting others to pay for it.

Exhibit A is the bipartisan, $700 billion rescue of Wall Street in 2008. Exhibit B is the crony recovery. The economists Emmanuel Saez and Thomas Piketty found that 93 percent of the income gains from the 2009-10 recovery went to the top 1 percent of taxpayers. The top 0.01 percent captured 37 percent of these additional earnings, gaining an average of $4.2 million per household.

The second manifestation of crony capitalism is more direct: the tax perks, trade protections and government subsidies that companies and sectors secure for themselves. Corporate pork is a truly bipartisan dish: green energy companies and the health insurers have been winners in this administration, as oil and steel companies were under George W. Bush’s.

The impulse of the powerful to make themselves even more so should come as no surprise. Competition and a level playing field are good for us collectively, but they are a hardship for individual businesses. Warren E. Buffett knows this. “A truly great business must have an enduring ‘moat’ that protects excellent returns on invested capital,” he explained in his 2007 annual letter to investors. “Though capitalism’s ‘creative destruction’ is highly beneficial for society, it precludes investment certainty.” Microsoft attempted to dig its own moat by simply shutting out its competitors, until it was stopped by the courts. Even Apple, a huge beneficiary of the open-platform economy, couldn’t resist trying to impose its own inferior map app on buyers of the iPhone 5.

Businessmen like to style themselves as the defenders of the free market economy, but as Luigi Zingales, an economist at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, argued, “Most lobbying is pro-business, in the sense that it promotes the interests of existing businesses, not pro-market in the sense of fostering truly free and open competition.”

IN the early 19th century, the United States was one of the most egalitarian societies on the planet. “We have no paupers,” Thomas Jefferson boasted in an 1814 letter. “The great mass of our population is of laborers; our rich, who can live without labor, either manual or professional, being few, and of moderate wealth. Most of the laboring class possess property, cultivate their own lands, have families, and from the demand for their labor are enabled to exact from the rich and the competent such prices as enable them to be fed abundantly, clothed above mere decency, to labor moderately and raise their families.”

For Jefferson, this equality was at the heart of American exceptionalism: “Can any condition of society be more desirable than this?”

That all changed with industrialization. As Franklin D. Roosevelt argued in a 1932 address to the Commonwealth Club, the industrial revolution was accomplished thanks to “a group of financial titans, whose methods were not scrutinized with too much care, and who were honored in proportion as they produced the results, irrespective of the means they used.” America may have needed its robber barons; Roosevelt said the United States was right to accept “the bitter with the sweet.”

But as these titans amassed wealth and power, and as America ran out of free land on its frontier, the country faced the threat of a Serrata. As Roosevelt put it, “equality of opportunity as we have known it no longer exists.” Instead, “we are steering a steady course toward economic oligarchy, if we are not there already.”

It is no accident that in America today the gap between the very rich and everyone else is wider than at any time since the Gilded Age. Now, as then, the titans are seeking an even greater political voice to match their economic power. Now, as then, the inevitable danger is that they will confuse their own self-interest with the common good. The irony of the political rise of the plutocrats is that, like Venice’s oligarchs, they threaten the system that created them.

The editor of Thomson Reuters Digital and the author of “Plutocrats: The Rise of the New Global Super-Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else,” from which this essay is adapted.

Stephen.Bates | +1 202 730-9760
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@Klout Gets Strategic Investment From $MSFT Serious Bing Integration cc @mgranovsky

Growing Its Influence, Klout Gets Strategic Investment From Microsoft — And Serious Bing Integration

Screen Shot 2012-09-27 at 2.56.49 PM

Klout hasn’t just defied influential tech pundits, its social reputation scorecard has won them over. Now the sometimes-controversial startup is aiming at search. The startup has just signed a strategic investment and partnership with Microsoft that, on top of new funding, will create a product and business relationship with the Bing team.

You’ll begin seeing Klout scores — the combined measure of a person’s influence across Twitter, Facebook and other social networks — show up in the search engine today. The initial implementation will show Klout scores for friends in the “People Who Know” section of the right-hand column, alongside other third parties already in there, including Twitter and Quora. Search for a hot topic like “Facebook advertising”, you’ll see people with socially-proven expertise showing up. Mouse over an expert’s name, and their Klout score will appear, along with their Klout-determined areas of expertise.

Meanwhile, search data in Bing will now begin contributing to Klout rankings.

For now, experts will get a boost in Klout whenever they show up in “People Who Know” for queries. But raw search data will also become part of the mix. ”Let’s say you write an article,” Klout chief executive Joe Fernandez explains, “and that article appears when somebody does a search, then the user clicks through. We’ll associate that click with your [Klout] name.”

Klout users who have Wikipedia entries associated with their accounts will also get Klout boosts for the number of times that those entries show up and get clicked on in search results.

For Microsoft, this is another move to define itself as the “open search platform” — a term that Bing corporate vice president Derrick Connell used repeatedly during my briefing call today. As with the Facebook, Twitter, Quora and even Google+ integrations, Klout helps position Microsoft as the more open and socially-attuned alternative to Google’s still-dominant search product.

The deal today isn’t exclusive for either party, both sides confirmed with me, so maybe we’ll see Klout start becoming a factor in Google rankings. But so far the search giant has appeared more focused on using Google+ data to power social relevance in rankings.

Klout, meanwhile, gets traffic and brand marketing from yet another big name, and money (both funding and revenue). I don’t have the exact terms, but this type of relationship reminds me of Microsoft’s now-legendary strategic investment/partnership with Facebook back in 2007.

Speaking of Facebook, founder Mark Zuckerberg has recently started talking about expanding his company’s own efforts in search. But both Bing and Klout use Facebook as a core way for determining relevancy in their services (you’ll even have to sign in with Facebook to get access to the Klout integration). I have to wonder if there’s any friction emerging here between the companies? Anyway, for now, this looks like a mutually beneficial win for all parties versus their shared enemy.


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Eric Asimov says 2009 Bordeaux at Reasonable Prices Is a Possibility - NYTimes.com

NYTimes.com

Lower-End Bordeaux Rises to the Occasion

FOR many would-be Bordeaux drinkers, the highly praised 2009 vintage was the watershed: the point at which they could take no more. Prices rose so high on the critical enthusiasm and international demand that, no matter how good the vintage was, many Americans turned their backs on the year and on Bordeaux.

Of course, they were simply joining multitudes who had already bid adieu to Bordeaux. Many younger wine lovers paid it no mind in the first place.

These disdainful attitudes are acutely painful to earlier generations of American wine drinkers who, like me, were essentially weaned on Bordeaux as they came of age in the 1980s and before. Bordeaux’s central importance historically and its role as a beacon, raising the level of quality in wines around the world, cannot be so easily dismissed.

But that is precisely what’s happened. Bordeaux, in the eyes of many wine lovers, is now a region of brand names, wielded by status-seeking point chasers like so many luxury cars or watches. Where so many wine lovers detect a purity of purpose in Burgundy, the Rhône Valley, the Loire and numerous other regions, in Bordeaux they see only a quest for filthy lucre.

Clearly, a measure of truth supports that attitude. Demand from Asia and other regions relatively new to wine has more than offset whatever drop Bordeaux has seen in the American market. While the Bordeaux trade may pay lip service to attracting a new generation of American customers or bemoan the high price of its wines, it seems content to make its profits. In its public image, Bordeaux far more often connotes the absentee owner and commerce rather than viticulture and love of wine.

Yet much of the emotional reaction against Bordeaux ignores these critical components: the wines, the people who make the wines, the land and the centuries of history that waft up so invitingly and instructively from each glass.

Bordeaux is one of the world’s greatest wines. In terms of complexity, longevity, soulful sense of place and sheer refreshment, Bordeaux remains not merely a great example but a benchmark. It even, like Burgundy, has its independent vignerons.

Surprisingly, it even has its less expensive side. That’s right, and from the pricey 2009 vintage, as well. This is not to say that top-ranked Bordeaux will be accessible for less-than-outrageous prices. Even a wine like Léoville-Barton, an excellent St.-Julien whose proprietor, Anthony Barton, has long tried to hold the line on prices, won’t be found (the 2009s, at least) for less than $120 or so.

Nonetheless, good, moderately priced Bordeaux is out there, wines that convey if not the grandeur of the region’s best wines at least a sense of what’s so good about them. In fact, 2009 is a great vintage to explore Bordeaux’s less expensive side. It was a year of rich, supple wines that are accessible when young, yet the wines have the freshness and vitality that makes good Bordeaux such a superb partner with food.

To get a sense of what’s available in the realm of moderately priced Bordeaux, the wine panel recently tasted 20 bottles of the 2009 vintage, all $50 or less. The wines came from the well-drained, gravelly soils of the Médoc and Graves, classic left bank Bordeaux from the areas west of the Gironde and Garonne rivers, where cabernet sauvignon is king. For the tasting, Florence Fabricant and I were joined by Hristo Zisovski, beverage director at Ai Fiori, Osteria Morini and Nicoletta, and Greg Majors, beverage director at Craft.

By $50 or less, I actually mean $20 to $50. No, this is not cheap, though it’s fair to say you will rarely if ever see good wines under $20 from most top regions, whether Burgundy, Barolo, Napa Valley or Châteauneuf-du-Pape. Yes, you can find Bordeaux for as low as $10, but in that range you run the risk of buying mass-produced commodity wines, or wines made from indifferent terroirs. While those wines are no doubt palatable, it’s far easier in the $20 to $50 range to find wines representative of Bordeaux’s best qualities.

As with wines from any region, we found a variety of styles. Some were lush, dense and concentrated. Others showed more finesse and refinement. We especially liked wines that showed good acidity, which helps keep wines fresh and refreshing. We were looking for good structure in the wines, too, the skeleton of tannins and acidity that transports the flesh of flavors through the mouth and helps wine age.

It’s important to understand that tannic and structured are not synonyms. Wines that are simply tannic can flop in the mouth like a formless, astringent blob. Structured wines develop in the mouth, existing in the dimension of time as well as taste and texture. The flavors evolve and linger, well after you’ve swallowed.

Decades ago, the influential Bordeaux enologist Émile Peynaud urged producers to create secondary, cheaper labels for grapes of lesser quality, reserving their best grapes for their top wines. At the time, many producers were aghast at making less wine by diverting grapes to a second label, but now all of Bordeaux seems to have embraced the idea of second labels, and sometimes even third labels. Seven of our 20 wines were second labels.

I have mixed feelings about second labels. They can obviously be good, but emotionally I’d like to feel I’m getting the best a producer has to offer. Also, they’re not always great values as they trade off on their illustrious siblings. In fact, four of those seven didn’t make our top 10, but among those that did were two of our first four, including our No. 1 wine, La Croix de Beaucaillou St.-Julien, sibling of the excellent St.-Julien Ducru-Beaucaillou. This wine was lively and bright with inviting mineral and fruit flavors.

Our No. 4 bottle was Le Petit Haut Lafitte from Pessac-Léognan, one of Smith Haut Lafitte’s secondary labels, concentrated yet accessible and refreshing. The third on our list was our No. 8 bottle, Château Gruaud Larose’s Sarget de Gruaud Larose St.-Julien, firm yet silky with spicy flavors of red fruit.

Our best value, at $25, was Château Lusseau, a producer I’ve never had before. It comes from the less exalted end of Graves, but this structured, precise wine shows Lusseau (not to be confused with Lusseau of St.-Émilion) is a producer worth watching.

Even in an accessible year like 2009, good Bordeaux requires time before it shows its best. These lower-end 2009s may only need two or three years, or maybe five or seven for the more structured wines. You might bemoan the fact that they demand patience. Or you could be thankful that even moderately priced Bordeaux improve with age.

Château Ducru-Beaucaillou, $44, ***
La Croix de Beaucaillou St.-Julien 2009
Fresh, bright and lip-smacking with lingering flavors of plummy fruit and minerals. (Massanois Imports, Washington)

BEST VALUE
Château Lusseau, $25, ***
Graves 2009
Structured yet inviting with lively, pure flavors of red fruit and tobacco. (Franck’s Signature Wines/Saturn Wine Imports, Scarsdale, N.Y.)

Château Larrivet Haut-Brion, $45, ***
Pessac-Léognan 2009
Earthy, smoky and compelling, with aromas and flavors of herbs and red fruit. (Fruit of the Vines, Long Island City, N.Y.)

Château Smith Haut Lafitte, $50, ***
Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac-Léognan 2009
Concentrated fruit tinged with herbal flavors, dense yet accessible and refreshing. (Vintage Trading, N.Y.)

Château Poujeaux, $45, ** ½
Moulis 2009
Well-structured and fresh with complex aromas and a pleasing tannic grip. (Vintage Trading)

Château de Ste. Gemme, $20, ** ½
Haut-Médoc 2009
Light-bodied and balanced with aromas and flavors of red fruit, minerals and tobacco. (Upslope Vineyards, N.Y.)

Château Tronquoy-Lalande, $45, ** ½
St.-Estèphe 2009
Structured yet harmonious with pure, pleasing flavors of red fruits. (Frederick Wildman & Sons, N.Y.)

Château Gruaud Larose, $35, **
Sarget de Gruaud Larose St.-Julien 2009
Clear aromas of spicy red fruit, pleasantly firm and silky. (Frederick Wildman & Sons)

Château Meyney, $40, **
St.-Estèphe 2009
Rich and muscular with concentrated flavors of ripe fruit and oak. (Premier Wine Company, Richmond, Calif.)

Château Cantemerle, $50, **
Haut-Médoc 2009
Dense and well-knit with ripe red fruit and oak flavors. (Cynthia Hurley French Wines, West Newton, Mass.)

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